Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.76
- Potential profit
- $6.76
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
souol
0xdaf7720b6c09db341796eaef1757a1c02d8b78c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.41
- Realized PnL
- $3.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- User PnL
- -$5.03
UNLV Runnin Rebels position
UT Martin Skyhawks vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.51
- Potential profit
- $4.51
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Dec 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.46
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- User PnL
- -$4.37
Yes position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $4.44
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 9.81x
- User PnL
- -$3.98
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $4.32
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $4.29
- Potential payout
- $4.43
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- User PnL
- -$4.1
DFX Peek position
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
No position
Will Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.95
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
N
No position
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $3.91
- Potential payout
- $3.94
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-10-31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Bill O’Dea win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-05?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Ends Dec 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Down position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on October 30?
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Dollar Tree Q1 comparable store net sales growth be above 5%?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Under position
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will FC Volendam win on 2025-11-01?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?No 99.9% 3.95 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $70 on June 29?Yes 99.9% 3.94 shares
- S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 29?No 99.9% 3.94 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 98.2% 4.01 shares
- Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?No 99.9% 3.94 shares
- Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June?No 99.1% 4 shares
- Will Trump's remarks not air?No 99.2% 3.98 shares
- Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?No 99.9% 3.94 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 99.5% 3.94 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 98.5% 3.96 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?Yes 99.9% 3.91 shares
- Will "Alignment" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No 99.9% 4 shares