Polymarket Trader

Shawnd3

0xdaf901a6f679fea4fea3a2676c27afb3edc107e1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $30
Realized PnL: $12.21
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Francis Marshall position

UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $30
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

ChatGPT Outage by April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $17
User PnL: -$16.49

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.47
Potential profit: $15.47
User PnL: -$14.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$9.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Pacers

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Magic position

Cavaliers vs. Magic

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Knicks

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Magic position

Magic vs. Timberwolves

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 99.6% 30 shares
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

No 99% 19 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 99% 18 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 97% 18 shares
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

No 99.9% 75.08 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 99.1% 31 shares
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?

Yes 97% 31 shares
UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)

Francis Marshall 99.9% 30 shares
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

PARIVISION 99% 32.99 shares
Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3?

No 99.3% 18.97 shares
Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3?

No 97% 18.97 shares
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on April 17, 2026?

No 99% 14.99 shares