Polymarket Trader

Mnimiy

@Mnilax

0xdafa6039d1ec95c5b541394748fb1cbce48b9f46

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $339.58
Realized PnL: $1.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.17

Yes position

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $998.5
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $17.3
Potential payout: $393.24
Potential profit: $375.94
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$49.7

Yes position

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $331.83
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $67.51
Potential payout: $214.32
Potential profit: $146.81
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$13.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $142.39
Potential profit: $141.61
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.22

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $71.9
Potential payout: $136.95
Potential profit: $65.05
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $1.9

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $73.76
Potential payout: $116.16
Potential profit: $42.4
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $13.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.66
Potential profit: $114.66
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $47.36
Potential payout: $82.37
Potential profit: $35.01
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$6.64

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.64
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $66.79
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $22.79
Potential payout: $52.38
Potential profit: $29.6
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.39

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $41.36
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$5.91

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $32.41
Potential profit: $27.55
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$3.67

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $30.17
Potential profit: $27.31
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$10.13

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $28.29
Potential profit: $26.17
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.38
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $10.45
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $7.73
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $2.83
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.75

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $96.16

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.48

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.75

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.24

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.26

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.44

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.18

No position

Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.22

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.47

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.46

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.31

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.97

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.83

Yes position

Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.89

No position

Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.66

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.6

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.57

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 55% 9.09 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 55% 18.18 shares
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 14% 35.71 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 59% 16.95 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 17.3% 28.61 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 34% 29.41 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 51.5% 58.27 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 4.1% 450.33 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 34.9% 28.61 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

No 29.7% 16.47 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9% 55.72 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

No 6.1% 614.85 shares