Polymarket Trader

0xDafd27c48807E5f5A576BD8a3854342C47A65FFb-1758125162413

0xdafd27c48807e5f5a576bd8a3854342c47a65ffb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $63.68K
Realized PnL: $25.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $11.29K
Potential payout: $12.47K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $371.78

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $1.29K
Potential payout: $6.32K
Potential profit: $5.02K
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$150.9

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $5.17K
Potential payout: $5.88K
Potential profit: $705.6
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $176.4

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $5.1K
Potential payout: $5.14K
Potential profit: $38.55
User PnL: $106.45

No position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.41K
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $31.09
User PnL: $244.01

No position

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $4.01K
Potential payout: $4.29K
Potential profit: $278.61
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $16.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $10.03
User PnL: -$2.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.86K
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $13.57
User PnL: $54.47

Yes position

Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.73K
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $13.7
User PnL: $13.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $2.15K
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $148.35
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $150.65

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $86.19
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $121.55

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $6.54
User PnL: $295.6

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $7.37
User PnL: $97.97

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $1.43K
Potential payout: $2.03K
Potential profit: $597.38
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$22.42

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $13.09
User PnL: $22.79

No position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $96.04
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $11.05

No position

GTA VI released before November 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $95.45
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$17.03

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1.37K
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $15.97
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $23.35

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $4.29
User PnL: $15.11

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $997.5
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $142.5
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $10.08
User PnL: $57.12

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $49.96
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $49.96

No position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $1.05K
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $7.42
User PnL: $56.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Rangers position

Rangers vs. Lightning

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16K

Ducks position

Ducks vs. Predators

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66K

Packers position

Packers vs. Lions

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26K

Raptors position

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.01K

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Flames

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

Wizards position

Hawks vs. Wizards

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Li Tu position

Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broom

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

Joao Lucas Da Silva position

Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedy

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Ben Shelton position

BMW Open: Joao Fonseca vs Ben Shelton

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Lakers position

Rockets vs. Lakers

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $934.44

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $897.31

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $761.33

Yes position

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?

Ends Dec 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.68

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.86

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $387.07

Cowboys position

Chiefs vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.4

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.8

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Jazz

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.24

No position

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $252.02

No position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.27

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99.8% 4,010 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 88% 1,140 shares
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?

No 66.1% 20 shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.5% 257.95 shares
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 39.18 shares
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

No 97.8% 10 shares
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

No 97.7% 53.75 shares
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

No 97.6% 12.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Up 49% 204.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Up 50% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Up 46% 217.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Up 1% 147.05 shares