Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- User PnL
- -$140
Polymarket Trader
lakatosbrendon
0xdb0d23c2c3468da13c6e8abfe96edfecc72d9efe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $226.89
- Realized PnL
- $1.93K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- User PnL
- -$363.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $937.82
- Potential profit
- $937.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.11
- Potential profit
- $689.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $494.55
- Potential profit
- $494.55
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $455.18
- Potential profit
- $455.18
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $21.67
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $311.67
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$78.33
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $12.88
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $237.13
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230.8
- Potential profit
- $230.8
- User PnL
- -$100
Arizona Diamondbacks position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $222.22
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.06
- Potential profit
- $217.06
- User PnL
- -$10
THUNDER dOWNUNDER position
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $208.33
- Potential profit
- $208.33
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.19
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.09
- Potential profit
- $170.09
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.49
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $153.05
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$46.8
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $89.71
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $57.35
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$10.29
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $143.51
- Potential profit
- $143.51
- User PnL
- -$10
Miami Marlins position
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $138.89
- User PnL
- -$50
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $123.46
- User PnL
- -$100
Marco Trungelliti position
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.72
- Potential profit
- $120.72
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $99.44
- Potential payout
- $112.49
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.13
- Potential profit
- $112.13
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.97
GamerLegion position
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.82
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $95.73
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.2
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.82
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $76.19
No position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.61
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.28
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.46
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.76
Over position
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.04
B8 position
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.04
Ekaterina Alexandrova position
Grass Court Championships: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Anastasia Potapova
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.49
Monte position
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.59
Yes position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.43
TYLOO position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $36.69
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.42
M80 position
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.25
Yes position
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.21
Virtus.pro position
Rainbow Six Siege: Virtus.pro vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO1) - South America League Stage 1 Group StageFaZe Clan 72% 13.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?Yes 98.1% 68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?Yes 44.1% 68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?Yes 99.4% 73.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?Yes 33% 56.13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?Yes 44.5% 56.14 shares
- Figueira Da Foz: Darja Vidmanova vs Jil TeichmannJil Teichmann 48% 62.5 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 19?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.8% 156.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?Yes 40.6% 73.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?Yes 34% 88.24 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 51% 96.15 shares