Polymarket Trader

snow01111

0xdb0eb19b60bfbc6d41ac8a3d6160c79f7f26fb55

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $710.12
Realized PnL: $290.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $141.11
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$88.89

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.9%
Current value: $341.7
Potential payout: $953.15
Potential profit: $611.44
Multiplier: 2.79x
User PnL: $181.71

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.4%
Current value: $128.29
Potential payout: $699.13
Potential profit: $570.84
Multiplier: 5.45x
User PnL: $23.29

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $14.57
Potential payout: $170.36
Potential profit: $155.8
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$5.43

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $162.92
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120.91
Potential profit: $120.91
User PnL: -$97.94

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $40.84
Potential payout: $46.68
Potential profit: $5.83
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.84

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $9.41
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $19.86
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $7.16
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.83
Potential profit: $25.83
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.24
Potential profit: $24.24
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.89
Potential profit: $13.89
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.61

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.29

Yes position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $20.71

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.02

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.94

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.93

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.78

No position

Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.53

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79

No position

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.78

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

No position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

No position

Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.14

Yes position

Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.11

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.87

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

No position

Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $5.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.29

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.1% 55.25 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 74% 27.03 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Yes 68% 29.41 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 84% 11.9 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 83% 19.48 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 78% 12.82 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 49% 20.41 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 86.96 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20.9% 95.69 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 72% 13.89 shares