Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $150.72
- Potential payout
- $767
- Potential profit
- $616.28
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $45.64
Polymarket Trader
macminibot
0xdb0f133c3d6639360aaeeaa61041cd523abd6906
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $472.15
- Realized PnL
- $1.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $8.06
- Potential payout
- $424
- Potential profit
- $415.94
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$53.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $35.63
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $59.38
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $12.94
- Potential payout
- $93.46
- Potential profit
- $80.51
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $2.94
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $61.54
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $6.46
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $60.61
- Potential profit
- $60.55
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.94
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $26.76
- Potential payout
- $57.56
- Potential profit
- $30.79
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $3.42
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $49.21
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$6.58
Tampa Bay Rays position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $24.22
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $26.78
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $27.92
- Multiplier
- 6.49x
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $18.04
- Potential payout
- $31.96
- Potential profit
- $13.92
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $6.04
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $6.18
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $24.82
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $22.95
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $7.05
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $20.7
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.1%
- Current value
- $9.44
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $13.56
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $16.83
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $5.17
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Betmoar launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $13.41
- Potential payout
- $19.16
- Potential profit
- $5.75
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $10.36
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $18.59
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$3.77
No position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $2.52
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $15.48
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.7%
- Current value
- $7.94
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 2.01x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Beer" this week?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $4.3
- Potential payout
- $14.81
- Potential profit
- $10.52
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $12.25
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $1.75
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.44
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.95
No position
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.33
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.9
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.34
LOUD position
Valorant: LOUD vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.56
Daniil Medvedev position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.08
Sunderland AFC position
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.69
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.94
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.1
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic - Map 1 Winner
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.98
9z position
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.7
Colorado Rockies position
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.17
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.08
9z position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.76
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 93% 15 shares
- Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No 60% 3 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 85% 12 shares
- Will Graham Platner drop out by July 10?No 21% 14 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 36% 10 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 47% 5.88 shares
- Will Trump say "Beer" this week?Yes 10% 0.48 shares
- Will Trump say "Beer" this week?Yes 10% 11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 33% 30 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 32% 31 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal 34% 6 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 39% 5 shares