Polymarket Trader

cozygo

0xdb2395a272dd89a897578ea8acd07c5d0b5ec959

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.36K
Realized PnL: $2.09K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.7K
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $398.98
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$14.59

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $739.96
Potential payout: $799.95
Potential profit: $60
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $42

No position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.3%
Current value: $625.92
Potential payout: $649.97
Potential profit: $24.05
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $78.95

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $564.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $35.1
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $24.9

No position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $591.26
Potential payout: $599.96
Potential profit: $8.7
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $75.3

No position

Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.4%
Current value: $461.73
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $38.25
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $46.75

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $353.99
Potential payout: $399.99
Potential profit: $46
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $28

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $316.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $33.25
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $27.75

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.47
Potential payout: $86.76
Potential profit: $85.28
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$76.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $370

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145

No position

Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.6

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.9

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.8

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.4

Yes position

Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84

Yes position

Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70

No position

Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.5

Yes position

Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.51

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.55

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $52.5

No position

US strike on Mexico by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.71

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.1

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

US strike on Colombia by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.8

No position

Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5

Yes position

Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.8

No position

Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 79.7% 807.28 shares
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

No 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 0.1% 1,500 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

No 42.4% 250.31 shares
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?

No 42.3% 399.68 shares
Will Shin Yong-han win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?

Yes 90.9% 189.85 shares
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Yes 81% 28.78 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 83% 200 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82% 150 shares
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

No 63% 423.1 shares
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 99.7% 650 shares
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 91% 100 shares