No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.53
- Potential profit
- $25.53
- User PnL
- -$24
Polymarket Trader
erbeoioe
0xdb3325c0c690d9a9c3ccf01f4fac2f04f7ef9564
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.27
- Realized PnL
- $26.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $10.82
- Potential payout
- $12.03
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10.81
- Potential payout
- $10.81
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.81
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.36
- Potential profit
- $10.36
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.31
- Potential profit
- $10.31
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $8.35
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.38
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.24
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- User PnL
- -$5.99
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.26
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Iran strike on Qatar by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 97.9% 10.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No 97.9% 10.21 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?No 96% 10.42 shares
- President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?No 93.9% 10.65 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 92.5% 10.81 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 95% 10.53 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?No 93.8% 10.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 96.5% 10.36 shares
- Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 80.8% 7.43 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 83.1% 12.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?No 96.2% 6.24 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?No 97.8% 7.16 shares