jjaysunn1

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $100K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.48K
Potential profit: $68.48K
User PnL: -$149.91

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.64K
Potential profit: $4.64K
User PnL: -$300

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.95K
Potential profit: $2.95K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $554.85
Potential profit: $554.85
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $404.25
Potential profit: $404.25
User PnL: -$143.49

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.03
Potential profit: $312.03
User PnL: -$83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.64
Potential profit: $254.64
User PnL: -$29.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $154.62
Potential profit: $154.62
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135
Potential profit: $135
User PnL: -$70

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.19
Potential profit: $113.19
User PnL: -$61.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.6
Potential profit: $109.6
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.46
Potential profit: $79.46
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $78.35
Potential payout: $78.63
Potential profit: $0.28
User PnL: $28.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.59
Potential profit: $63.59
User PnL: -$24.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.53
Potential profit: $63.53
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.78
Potential profit: $48.78
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $16.44
Potential payout: $43.83
Potential profit: $27.39
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.55
Potential profit: $42.55
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.34
Potential profit: $35.34
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.83
Potential profit: $31.83
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.94
Potential profit: $29.94
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.09

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $228.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $188.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $151.82

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.7

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 4?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 5?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$15.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.08

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?