Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $660.86
- Potential profit
- $660.86
- User PnL
- -$398.79
Polymarket Trader
Gandolf101
0xdb413f42aa12a2078d510df11fa528b75563685e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $199.4
- Realized PnL
- $1.12K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $629.98
- Potential profit
- $629.98
- User PnL
- -$148.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $199.4
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- User PnL
- $43.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.85
- Potential profit
- $151.85
- User PnL
- -$19.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.92
- Potential profit
- $144.92
- User PnL
- -$19.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.35
- Potential profit
- $139.35
- User PnL
- -$98.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.78
- Potential profit
- $132.78
- User PnL
- -$19.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.76
- Potential profit
- $67.76
- User PnL
- -$19.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.07
- Potential profit
- $48.07
- User PnL
- -$19.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.91
- Potential profit
- $43.91
- User PnL
- -$14.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.73
- Potential profit
- $40.73
- User PnL
- -$14.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.56
- Potential profit
- $37.56
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.47
- Potential profit
- $36.47
- User PnL
- -$19.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.35
- Potential profit
- $35.35
- User PnL
- -$9.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.95
- Potential profit
- $25.95
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.03
- Potential profit
- $24.03
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.68
- Potential profit
- $23.68
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.65
- Potential profit
- $23.65
- User PnL
- -$4.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.46
- Potential profit
- $23.46
- User PnL
- -$9.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.13
- Potential profit
- $14.13
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.64
- Potential profit
- $12.64
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.29
- Potential profit
- $9.29
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.19
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.51
Yes position
Will Trump say "Charlie Kirk" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.59
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.92
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.89
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
No position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei seen in public by March 14?No 98.1% 168.3 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 2.4% 173 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETDown 60.3% 660.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETUp 48% 102.54 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown 27% 151.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETDown 18% 151.17 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown 14% 191.56 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETUp 72.4% 352.64 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown 52% 189.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown 53% 2.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown 89% 359.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp 62.5% 315.41 shares