dogepepeshiba

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.66K
Potential profit: $95.66K
User PnL: -$95.66

Yes position

Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.12K
Potential profit: $45.12K
User PnL: -$45.12

Yes position

Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.39K
Potential profit: $26.39K
User PnL: -$26.39

Yes position

Deel IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $313.38
Potential profit: $299.28
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.59
Potential profit: $279.59
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Glean IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $174.32
Potential profit: $154.27
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $17.93
Potential payout: $155.9
Potential profit: $137.97
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.62

Yes position

Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $14.25
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $135.75
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Ramp IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $15.75
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $134.25
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Vanta IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $16.71
Potential payout: $145.32
Potential profit: $128.61
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $17.63
Potential payout: $130.62
Potential profit: $112.99
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$4.42

Yes position

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $12.99
Potential payout: $123.72
Potential profit: $110.73
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $17.88
Potential payout: $115.35
Potential profit: $97.47
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $17.34
Potential payout: $105.11
Potential profit: $87.77
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.57

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $13.66
Potential payout: $101.15
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$10.64

Yes position

Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $5.5
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $94.51
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $100.01
Potential profit: $87.01
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $20.13
Potential payout: $98.2
Potential profit: $78.07
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $8.48
Potential payout: $67.83
Potential profit: $59.35
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

ByteDance IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $3.5
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $46.51
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 30%
Current value: $15
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Clavicular visit Colombia in 2026?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $11.73
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $34.27
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $44.81
Potential profit: $39.65
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will Clavicular visit Brazil in 2026?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $8.22
Potential payout: $44.41
Potential profit: $36.19
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$1.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $132.91

Yes position

Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.89

Yes position

Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $99.84

Yes position

Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.95

Yes position

Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $60.23

Yes position

Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.09

Yes position

Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.99

Yes position

Will Catarina Martins win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.5

Yes position

Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 8%
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: $25.53

Yes position

Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.16

Yes position

Will Rui Moreira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.66

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.7

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will Vitorino Silva win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.23

Yes position

Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.59

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?