Polymarket Trader

nDb4

0xdb5ded49624514148b11aa7adf544d9d2e15333f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.69
Realized PnL: $845.25
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $550
User PnL: -$415.5

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $116.82
Potential profit: $114.13
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$47.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.38
Potential profit: $104.38
User PnL: -$16.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.35
Potential profit: $102.35
User PnL: -$55.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Ends Apr 23, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $500.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Yes 94% 400 shares
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Yes 95% 29.42 shares
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Yes 75% 11.86 shares
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?

Yes 42.8% 116.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 11% 50.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 16% 50.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 45.8% 70.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 54% 102.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 69.1% 60 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 200 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 93% 48.71 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

No 99.9% 100 shares