jakkov

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $86.96
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $66.96

Dune 3 position

Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?

Ends Dec 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $9.15
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $35.85
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $9.29
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $26.43
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $31.25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Wolves be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.04
Potential profit: $26.04
User PnL: -$1.17

Yes position

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$6.25

No position

Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.25
Potential profit: $22.25
User PnL: -$7.58

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11

No position

Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in January?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4.6

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.7

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$3.4

No position

Will Trump say "TrumpRx.gov" or "TrumpRx.com" or "TrumpRx" in January?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" during the Board of Peace Charter Announcement?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Greenland" during remarks on January 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $12
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks on January 28?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.8

No position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.55

Yes position

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.87

Over position

Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62

No position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

AFC Bournemouth position

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny win 3 Grammys?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Maduro mugshot released by Monday?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.4

Bitcoin position

Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Will the US strike Syria next?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?