No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $67.95
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $22.05
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $22.95
Polymarket Trader
lily123
0xdb75ca82bcc9fca14ca231ddb4d62ac34713e839
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $77.24
- Realized PnL
- $8.57
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $9.29
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- $1.61
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Palantir dip to $141 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Multiplier
- 22.99x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?Yes 5.3% 20 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 14% 9 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 91% 7 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 33.9% 8 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 85% 5 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No 78% 8 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 22% 8 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 92.9% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 54.1% 5 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 81% 10 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 91.5% 11 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes 8.5% 20 shares