Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.18
- Potential profit
- $109.18
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Goudaa
0xdb799ec11eba973ef1b9c7c9e3252984dad1e359
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.43
- Realized PnL
- $94.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.13
- Potential profit
- $58.13
- User PnL
- -$4.65
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.71
- Potential profit
- $49.71
- User PnL
- -$13.66
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $42.98
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $11.39
- Potential payout
- $43.8
- Potential profit
- $32.41
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.58
- Potential profit
- $17.58
- User PnL
- -$3.03
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.57
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $9.85
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$9.43
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.76
- Potential profit
- $8.76
- User PnL
- -$2.54
No position
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.69
- Potential profit
- $7.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.85
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be named the 2025 BBC Sports Personality of the Year?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Ray Traced" or "Ray Tracing" during NVIDIA keynote?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.47
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
Yes position
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
Ends Dec 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Grok 4 released by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Yes position
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will Solana reach $160 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win IGN's Game of the Year award?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 75.1% 6.66 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?Yes 5% 100 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 21% 23.81 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 67.1% 4.33 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 34% 14.71 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 49.5% 12.33 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 33% 29.09 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 12% 16.67 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?Yes 0.9% 109.18 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 32% 15.63 shares