Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Polymarket Trader
Jaylin989
0xdb91e0243c31a4ad2ca2394e538d3464b29ffea8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Solana above $145 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Solana above $145 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Elon tweet 500-524 times March 14-21?
Ends Mar 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on March 11?
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Albania win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Elon tweet 650 or more times March 21-28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $87000 and $89000 on Mar 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Solana above $145 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $2,800.00 again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 86 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 60 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 55% 66 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 54% 3 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 67% 55 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 69% 55 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 55% 3 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 58% 69 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No 59% 69 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 33% 8 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 33% 30 shares