Polymarket Trader

G.Hchen

0xdb976ec8f75771f7af08d13546fe3d000867eee8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.59K
Realized PnL: $48.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $6.2K
Potential profit: $5.05K
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$2.18K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.71K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $4.29K
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$1.46K

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $2.52K
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $3.48K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $830.25
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $3.67K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $94.75

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $502
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.5K
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $78

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $470
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.53K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $114

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $246
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.75K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $294
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.71K
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$146

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $246
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.75K
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $546
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$134

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $135.17
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $228.13

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $45.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$50.27

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $900
User PnL: -$477

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $146.25
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $603.75
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.75

Yes position

Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $338.94
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $261.06
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$18.06

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $44.99
Potential payout: $599.82
Potential profit: $554.83
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$69.32

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $530
Potential profit: $530
User PnL: -$318

Yes position

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $510
Potential profit: $510
User PnL: -$168.3

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast finish second in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 68%
Current value: $340.19
Potential payout: $500.28
Potential profit: $160.09
Multiplier: 1.47x
User PnL: -$14.86

No position

Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $400
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $100
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $242.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $257.5
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $205
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $295
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$167.4

Yes position

Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $162
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $238
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.25K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.79K

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17K

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 900k?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92K

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $816.32

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805.77

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $530.32

Yes position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.74

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.45

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $287.07

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $271.81

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.77

No position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.88

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $163.84

Knicks position

Cavaliers vs. Knicks

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160

No position

Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.22

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150.5

Rousey position

MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

No 54% 100 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 59% 1,000 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 1,100 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 56% 999.99 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 1,000 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 77% 1,300 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 75% 700 shares
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 86.5% 1,000 shares
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 69.7% 98.63 shares
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 69.8% 64 shares
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 69.9% 249.3 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?

No 53% 120 shares