No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.98K
- Potential profit
- $24.98K
- User PnL
- -$322.83
Polymarket Trader
intwit
0xdbb4a207c02e3f05c4ce1b02e7c934b086cbafe9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.93K
- Realized PnL
- $7.52K
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $5.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.05K
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$302.23
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $833.04
- Potential payout
- $3.2K
- Potential profit
- $2.37K
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$250.82
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$108.7
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $596.9
- Potential payout
- $2.54K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- -$73.49
Positive position
Bitcoin ETF Flows on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$5.1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$71.34
Yes position
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $483
- Potential profit
- $483
- User PnL
- -$52.83
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $931.86
Gold position
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $919.59
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $529.3
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.05
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $371.91
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $370.48
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.2
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.48
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.2
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.12
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.52
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.95
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 1?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.71
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.02
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.2
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.3
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $7.91
Yes position
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $7.24
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes 37% 608.99 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 26% 1,540 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 39% 500 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 1,650 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 39% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.1% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.7% 7,200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 6.5% 12.2 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 12% 415 shares