Polymarket Trader

Haruyuki

0xdbbc5892d6578dc3cde1731eaa35b79c3499ed7c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.65K
Realized PnL: $11.24K
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $919.67K
Potential profit: $919.67K
User PnL: -$1.63K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.67K
Potential profit: $141.67K
User PnL: -$299.77

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.18K
Potential profit: $119.18K
User PnL: -$1.75K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.02K
Potential profit: $107.02K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $98.35K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$79.5

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.39K
Potential profit: $75.39K
User PnL: -$1.74K

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.03K
Potential profit: $12.03K
User PnL: -$244.99

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56K
Potential profit: $5.56K
User PnL: -$50

Moicano position

Makhachev vs. Moicano

Ends Jan 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.35K
Potential profit: $5.35K
User PnL: -$511.57

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$80

No position

TikTok banned in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.61K
Potential profit: $2.61K
User PnL: -$35

Yes position

Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$119

Yes position

Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $885.8
Potential profit: $885.8
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Caroline Ellison sentenced to 24-35 months in prison?

Ends Sep 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94K

Yes position

Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?

Ends Oct 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $930

Yes position

Will Ricardo Nunes win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?

Ends Oct 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $610

No position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.09

Yes position

Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024?

Ends Jan 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Mira Murati join Anthropic?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Hamas surrender before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.99

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Wood as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.99

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Iran blame Israel for helicopter crash?

Ends May 24, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?

Ends Nov 7, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.38

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Dorian Nakamoto as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$21.99

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Vili Lehdonvirta as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Biden resign before the election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$24.75

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Andresen as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.99

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.99

Yes position

Will the HBO documentary identify Elon Musk as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$27

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 1,764.71 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 4,705.88 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 17,647.06 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 11,764.71 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 5,882.35 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 29,411.76 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 1,176.47 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.7% 17,647.06 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2% 10,000 shares
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 2.4% 3,333.33 shares
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Yes 84% 75 shares