Yes position
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $16.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $33.75
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$7.25
Polymarket Trader
Simmonst
0xdbc0a4b6045def4c4a1711fdb88e5efcb1cd3012
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.25
- Realized PnL
- $62.92
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.2
China PR position
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.96
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$8.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 98.4% 340 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No 95.9% 340 shares
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No 95.2% 332 shares
- Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No 92% 354 shares
- Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?No 93% 352 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.5% 458 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.3% 458 shares
- Spread: Thailand (-1.5)China PR 93% 428 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No 89% 433 shares
- Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No 91% 433 shares