Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $2.08K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$146.8
Polymarket Trader
8dcc906a9b
0xdbd028b4afcb6fe1e30c55fb65f59a1133d58c1c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.53K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $3.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$173.13
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $2.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$33.19
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $32.94
- Potential payout
- $387.5
- Potential profit
- $354.56
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$9.69
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $31.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $268.5
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $16.5
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $203.75
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.5
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $16.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $83.5
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.55
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$24.55
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.9%
- Current value
- $11.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.15
- Multiplier
- 8.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.59
- Potential profit
- $62.59
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.53
- Potential profit
- $31.53
- User PnL
- -$9.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?Yes 66.3% 3,640.49 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 47% 2,276.45 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes 54.8% 1,073.14 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?Yes 14.5% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?Yes 11% 387.5 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 24% 50 shares
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 24% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes 25% 100 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?Yes 5% 100 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 24% 100 shares