Polymarket Trader

-Ciguli-

0xdbe1d397f88ee2382753c9f6c4819a176c6d608d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.38K
Realized PnL: $745.04
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $948.31
Potential payout: $948.78
Potential profit: $0.47
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $775.25
Potential profit: $775.25
User PnL: -$770

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.63
Potential profit: $771.63
User PnL: -$770

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.34
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.34
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.34
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.34
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.34
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.34
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.34
Potential payout: $675.68
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.34
Potential payout: $675.67
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.33
Potential payout: $675.67
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $675.33
Potential payout: $675.66
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $595.87
Potential payout: $596.17
Potential profit: $0.3
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $523.98
Potential payout: $524.24
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $500.73
Potential payout: $500.98
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $500.21
Potential payout: $500.46
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $480.17
Potential payout: $480.41
Potential profit: $0.24
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $459.92
Potential payout: $460.15
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $455.49
Potential payout: $455.72
Potential profit: $0.23
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $441.54
Potential payout: $441.76
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $403.04
Potential payout: $403.24
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $313.85
Potential payout: $314
Potential profit: $0.16
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $272.27
Potential profit: $272.27
User PnL: -$272

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.52

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.84

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on June 30?

No 99.9% 20.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 57°F or below on June 30?

No 99.9% 675.68 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 30?

No 99.9% 308.36 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 30?

No 99.9% 287.81 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on June 29?

No 99.9% 20.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 30?

No 99.9% 368.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on June 30?

No 99.9% 307.38 shares
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 29?

No 99.9% 307.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 30?

No 99.9% 79.51 shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 30?

No 99.9% 19.27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?

Yes 99.9% 625.88 shares
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on June 30?

No 99.9% 675.68 shares