Polymarket Trader

ElonSleep

0xdbf99963ba3e62c65a6870d0887d6f776e03b9cc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.85K
Realized PnL: $1.74K
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.26K
Potential profit: $15.26K
User PnL: -$20.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63K
Potential profit: $11.63K
User PnL: -$11.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 29.8%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $5.63K
Multiplier: 3.36x
User PnL: $2.37K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $461.85
Potential payout: $7.39K
Potential profit: $6.93K
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: $454.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $3.02K
User PnL: -$66.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$39.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: -$36.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$50.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$34.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$49.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $982.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $630.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.69

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $7

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.8%
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5.3%
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 94.8%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.6%
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33.65

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 31.1% 15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 29.6% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 29.7% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 29.7% 165 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 6% 2,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 30% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 30.2% 88.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 57.86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 30.2% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 30.1% 70 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 30% 17.09 shares