Polymarket Trader

0xDBfa97086C0989CB9aF9A9FeFC0591f76Ae6FfE0-1768737686832

0xdbfa97086c0989cb9af9a9fefc0591f76ae6ffe0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.23
Realized PnL: -$4.43
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.18
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.85
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $5.32
Potential profit: $3.25
Multiplier: 2.57x
User PnL: $1.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 6%
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $0.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 18.18 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.8% 5.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Down 72% 1.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Down 89% 1.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 27% 1.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Up 68% 1.4 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 99% 1.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

Down 74% 1.3 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 86% 1.78 shares
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Yes 76% 1.16 shares