Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $23.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $26.25
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$12.75
Polymarket Trader
0xDBfF86147D51290115380BDda93B51913b12F90B-1774346413446
0xdbff86147d51290115380bdda93b51913b12f90b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.75
- Realized PnL
- -$18.28
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ramp IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Glean IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Multiplier
- 11.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
No position
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No 73% 50 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes 48% 50 shares
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 48% 3.12 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No 23% 20 shares
- Will Russia enter Lyman by April 30?Yes 59% 15 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 23% 7.54 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?No 25% 2.46 shares
- Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Yes 9% 3.46 shares
- Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?Yes 9% 16.54 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?No 49% 20 shares
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes 63% 17.24 shares
- Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No 62% 20 shares