Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.1%
- Current value
- $25.55
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $24.45
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Polymarket Trader
ggenergy
0xdc007229b5aa32f7fea4ec59a898786547725cef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $99.24
- Realized PnL
- $189.69
- Win rate
- 61.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $49.98
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$19.98
Yes position
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $40.05
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.11
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.67
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.89
Yes position
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $15.8
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $17.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.8
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.73
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.2
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.6
Yes position
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 51.9% 50 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes 73% 13.7 shares
- Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes 52% 30 shares
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes 87% 100 shares
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes 76% 10 shares
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?Yes 75% 13.33 shares
- Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?Yes 82% 12.2 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 99.9% 200 shares
- Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?No 35% 30 shares
- US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?Yes 44% 50 shares
- Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes 39% 20 shares