galhammerman

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $102
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $67.86
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $48.14
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $4.06

Yes position

Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $23.29
Potential payout: $87.89
Potential profit: $64.6
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Will the announcers say "Nutmeg” or “Meg" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $46.76
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $9.24
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $36.11
Potential payout: $50.5
Potential profit: $14.39
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $27.5
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: $8

No position

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.25
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $35
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $15
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $15.2
Potential payout: $39.49
Potential profit: $24.29
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $5.67
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $27.67
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the South Africa vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $24.6
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$5.7

No position

Will the announcers say "History" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $23.81
Multiplier: 8.47x
User PnL: -$3.02

No position

Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $25.72
Potential profit: $23.15
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$10.8

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $22.71
Potential profit: $21.12
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$2.95

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $2.2

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 25?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.66
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Darius Acuff Jr. be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $16.9
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $0.7

Yes position

Will Labaron Philon be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $14.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will Skechers be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.75
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.29
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$0.69

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.4
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.22

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Hattrick” or “Hat Trick" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30%
Multiplier: 3.33x
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will "Supergirl" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,290 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 75%
Multiplier: 1.33x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Adidas be the brand of boot worn by the Golden Boot winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 90%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of June 22 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 25?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will Yaxel Lendeborg be drafted in the top 10 of the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?