Polymarket Trader

MadAbyss

0xdc15b96996d897fb5a1b50a37a979baf39dec33d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $253.47
Realized PnL: -$25.67
Win rate: 18.8%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $175
Potential profit: $164.41
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $7.61

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$3

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $99.45
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $10.44
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $13.55
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $86.45
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $2.55

Yes position

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $84.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $15.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$1.5

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $35.38
Potential payout: $40.21
Potential profit: $4.83
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.41

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Jasmine Paolini position

Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.79

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

No position

Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Taylor Fritz position

Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Argentina leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Roman Safiullin position

Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.14

Miomir Kecmanovic position

Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Alexandra Eala position

Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?

Yes 16% 11.62 shares
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 9?

Yes 43% 11.63 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

Taylor Fritz 36% 15 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev

Taylor Fritz 40% 15 shares
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

No 91% 109.89 shares
Argentina leading at halftime?

Yes 3% 5.45 shares
Argentina leading at halftime?

Yes 55% 5.45 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Egypt?

Yes 17% 17.65 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala

Alexandra Eala 57% 17.54 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Eala

Jasmine Paolini 44% 22.73 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?

Yes 14% 21.43 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?

Yes 12% 25 shares