Polymarket Trader

0x9da81dc

0xdc21adf39ded0fc7c89066e1ae7b533f706b0726

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.67K
Realized PnL: -$16.52
Win rate: 7.7%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $13.88K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.28K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.8K
Potential payout: $5.3K
Potential profit: $503.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $498.12

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $909.06
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $106.65
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $207.75

No position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $707.87
Potential payout: $879.89
Potential profit: $172.02
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$12.14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $120.19
Potential payout: $621.12
Potential profit: $500.93
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $20.19

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $81.47
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $506.76
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$18.53

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104
Potential profit: $104
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $53.52
Potential payout: $103.92
Potential profit: $50.4
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 65.9%
Current value: $67.12
Potential payout: $101.92
Potential profit: $34.81
Multiplier: 1.52x
User PnL: $14.12

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $54.48
Potential payout: $101.92
Potential profit: $47.45
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.69
Potential profit: $101.69
User PnL: -$60

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $64.56

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$22.72

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$58.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 52% 101.92 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 51% 103.92 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 101.92 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 101.92 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 59% 101.69 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 72% 101.39 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 68% 100 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 44% 102.27 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 63% 101.59 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 101.64 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 100 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 25% 104 shares