Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $9.92
- Potential payout
- $50.49
- Potential profit
- $40.57
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Polymarket Trader
Pobo33
0xdc2f9cfb98f044c0c7ea6698a0d833cfaf92a872
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.49
- Realized PnL
- $12.16
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $24.63
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- Multiplier
- 4.56x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Ends Oct 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $16.19
- Potential payout
- $22.64
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $16.44
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.1%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $10.35
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.1%
- Current value
- $4.47
- Potential payout
- $7.32
- Potential profit
- $2.85
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.13
- Potential payout
- $7.15
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $2.12
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $5.32
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12AM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.85
Yes position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 58.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
No position
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.67
No position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 53% 22.64 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 26% 10.2 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No 73% 16.44 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 20.5% 50.49 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 75% 7.93 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 99.1% 6.41 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 97.8% 6.42 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?No 63% 7.94 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?No 49% 10.2 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 77.8% 6.43 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 77.9% 6.42 shares
- Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?No 48.3% 10.35 shares