Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $23.15
- Potential payout
- $25.58
- Potential profit
- $2.43
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Polymarket Trader
Obsidianaa
0xdc347c0366e69346bd921e163b2faf693233d61b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.15
- Realized PnL
- $14.4
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 January 26-1?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.03
- Potential profit
- $7.03
- User PnL
- -$6
Timberwolves position
Clippers vs. Timberwolves
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.48
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 86% 25.58 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 24.72 shares
- Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.8% 23.09 shares
- Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 99.6% 23.09 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 97.5% 22.26 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No 98.8% 22.27 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 97.4% 23.76 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 96.8% 23.76 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.5% 21.87 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 21.88 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 95.7% 23.76 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.8% 23.76 shares