xunxar

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $3.64
Potential payout: $22.03
Potential profit: $18.4
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.9
Potential profit: $9.9
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $7.46
Potential profit: $6.08
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.8
Potential profit: $4.8
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $4.61
Potential profit: $3.67
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $3.59
Potential payout: $4.57
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on July 14?

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $2.69
Potential payout: $4.3
Potential profit: $1.61
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: -$0.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $1.85
Potential payout: $3.06
Potential profit: $1.21
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.68
Potential profit: $2.68
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.53
Potential profit: $2.53
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 55%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $1.13
Multiplier: 1.82x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 12%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $2.44
Potential profit: $2.15
Multiplier: 8.33x
User PnL: -$0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $2.29
Potential profit: $1.09
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $2.05
Potential profit: $1.41
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.75
Potential profit: $1.75
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $1.62
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 16?

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $0.38
Potential payout: $1.6
Potential profit: $1.22
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $1.37
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $1.3
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 18?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 18?