Polymarket Trader

Fence-sitter

0xdc3d8de9a5e88f7ada1f08b74bfe2116f24d498a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.15K
Realized PnL: $5.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $85.25
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $5.41K
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $73.35
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $826.65
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$26.55

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $500.01
Potential profit: $452.51
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$47.5

Yes position

Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $478.75
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$77.15

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $437.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $34.67
Potential payout: $485.54
Potential profit: $450.87
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$28.45

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $48.75
Potential payout: $390
Potential profit: $341.25
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$52.65

Yes position

Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $158.17
Potential payout: $280
Potential profit: $121.83
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $57.37

Yes position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $255.56
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $14.44
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $53.06

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$99.82

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$100

No position

Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $113.98
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $86.02
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $13.98

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $160
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $139.93
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $41.93

Yes position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $107.39
Potential payout: $119.99
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.84
Potential profit: $7.84
User PnL: -$4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $737.8

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.43

Yes position

Will 150-200k jobs be added in February?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.25

Yes position

Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $302.34

Yes position

Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.96

Yes position

Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 WSOP Main Event?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.9

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.82

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.76

No position

Bitcoin all time high before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.5

No position

Will Bournemouth qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.55

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.58

Yes position

Will Crystal Palace win the 2024-25 FA Cup?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.4

Yes position

Will France win the 2025 UEFA European U21 Championship?

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $104.77

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.8

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.29

Yes position

Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $86.51

Yes position

Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.06

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.87

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.22

Yes position

Will Newcastle United win the 2024 Carabao Cup?

Ends Mar 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $73.89

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.17

Yes position

No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 99.9% 120 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Up 48% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Up 51% 3.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Up 51% 3.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Up 81% 3.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Up 52% 3.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Up 48% 4.65 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Up 43% 4.65 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 60% 160 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 40% 130 shares
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13% 270.02 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Up 45% 5 shares