Polymarket Trader

79879889

0xdc41122f45e87890e790ae4f3aad2916776b362b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.14K
Realized PnL: $22.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.89K
Potential profit: $15.89K
User PnL: -$14.17K

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $9.31K
Potential payout: $9.51K
Potential profit: $194.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16K
Potential profit: $8.16K
User PnL: -$7.52K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.03K
Potential profit: $5.03K
User PnL: -$3.39K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.98K
Potential profit: $3.98K
User PnL: -$3.27K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $3.8K
User PnL: -$2.69K

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$1.54K

No position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $211.82
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $71.95

No position

Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $852.04
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $307.2
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$63.49

No position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $903.69
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $191.69
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$50.31

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $781
Potential profit: $781
User PnL: -$635

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $728.63
Potential profit: $728.63
User PnL: -$377

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $601.33
Potential profit: $601.33
User PnL: -$307

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $536.99
Potential profit: $536.99
User PnL: -$195

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.52
Potential profit: $381.52
User PnL: -$286.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $945.67

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $939.37

Lakers position

Lakers vs. Rockets

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $882.35

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $877.41

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $581.97

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $496.46

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $426.6

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.73

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $356.01

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.18

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.86

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $229.4

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.92

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.16

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.95

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $100.27

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.34

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

No 87% 993.1 shares
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

No 89% 864.45 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

No 98.9% 780.2 shares
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 79% 1,159.23 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

No 77.9% 1,283.77 shares
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

No 88% 102.27 shares
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?

No 96% 780.21 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

No 81.2% 45.57 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

No 70% 1,428.82 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

No 70% 1,428.66 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

No 69.2% 79.48 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

No 68.3% 146.41 shares