Polymarket Trader

Aelsca

0xdc476fb4cc2aeae3032d4937672390751fc8eb82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.25
Realized PnL: $557.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$9.8

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.88
Potential profit: $105.88
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.62
Potential profit: $92.62
User PnL: -$19.45

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: -$24.3

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $77.08
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.25
Potential profit: $81.25
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $76
User PnL: -$9.12

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$9.75

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.07
Potential profit: $74.07
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$17

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$19.2

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41
Potential profit: $41
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.77
Potential profit: $30.77
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$10.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.64

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.16

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.39

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.01

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.6

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.53

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.75

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.71

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.94

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.58

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.35

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.72

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.3

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.52

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.72

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.88

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.13

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

47.3% 109.12 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

31.7% 30.84 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 24% 83.33 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? AND Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

26% 109.12 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 25% 68 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 56% 26.79 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? AND Will France win on 2026-06-30?

36.4% 53.9 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

42.4% 45.76 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 73% 177.47 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 12% 76 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 82.1% 0.99 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 23.6% 20 shares