Polymarket Trader

Ligmahalls

0xdc498668686d7ae36a266b8efd4fd71f47028a5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.55
Realized PnL: $75.95
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Scotland vs Brazil FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Ground Zero position

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $92.36
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.03
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Chad Bianco finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $39.13
Potential profit: $39.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.27
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.03
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$0.55

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $26.78
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $24.09
Multiplier: 16.53x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 6.1%
Current value: $1.33
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $20.41
Multiplier: 16.39x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $1.17
Potential payout: $21.68
Potential profit: $20.51
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Portugal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Juan Manuel Cerundolo position

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.57
Potential profit: $17.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.16
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$0.49

Over position

Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.17
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$0.89

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $1,900 June 15-21?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.6%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $9.54
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.22

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Aurora position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.53

Yes position

Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.37

Yes position

Maduro out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.89

Bills position

Chiefs vs. Bills

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

BNK FEARX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

Blue Jays position

Blue Jays vs. Dodgers

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Kiwoom DRX position

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will CA Unión win on 2025-10-31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Volkanovski position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. 49ers

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35

Yes position

Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-05?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 16?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

FaZe position

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?

No 82% 1.22 shares
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 3.6% 27.78 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?

No 7.7% 12.99 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

No 68% 1.47 shares
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Sumit Nagal

Felix Balshaw 43% 2.33 shares
Targu Mures: Felix Balshaw vs Sumit Nagal

Sumit Nagal 55% 1.82 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 22-28?

Yes 4.6% 21.74 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Yes 4.6% 21.68 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 26?

Yes 4% 25 shares