No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $596.14K
- Potential payout
- $597.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- $4.7K
Polymarket Trader
third-eye
0xdc4f08727c65afc4731b75cf1ed265666b7b4652
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $685.51K
- Realized PnL
- $185.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $153.9
- Potential payout
- $102.6K
- Potential profit
- $102.45K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.16K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $37.12K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $7.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $26.1K
- Potential payout
- $33.03K
- Potential profit
- $6.94K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$111.09
Yes position
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $13.78K
- Potential payout
- $14.71K
- Potential profit
- $934.25
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $412.5
- Potential payout
- $5.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.09K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$97.45
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $3.96K
- Potential payout
- $4.02K
- Potential profit
- $54.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $130.22
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $530
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$89
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $553.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $22
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $335
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $130.76
Yes position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $81
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$49.99
Kyle Daukaus position
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.92K
- User PnL
- -$500.06
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $132.31
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $1.72K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.67K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $65.95
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $27.49
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.31K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $187.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$21.5
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.41K
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $64.54
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.27
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $30.51
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $969.75
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $34.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $965.5
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $39.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $960.5
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $925
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Current value
- $107.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $892.5
- Multiplier
- 9.30x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $625
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $375
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.21K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.83K
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47K
Yes position
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74K
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.57K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64K
Carlos Ulberg position
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5K
Vicente Luque position
UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.42K
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.27K
Lance Gibson Jr. position
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01K
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Gregory Rodrigues position
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.7% 1,000 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 83% 100 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 88% 200 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes 88% 500 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No 93% 1,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.7% 98,847.74 shares
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes 79% 186.54 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?Yes 90% 100 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.3% 2,000 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 61% 1,000 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 80% 200 shares