Polymarket Trader

vagnus

0xdc52599a7af09010960e71b1ab5cea0502e7756d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.27
Realized PnL: $432.86
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Team Liquid position

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.4
Potential profit: $98.4
User PnL: -$6.89

Yes position

Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $4.13
Potential payout: $74.46
Potential profit: $70.33
Multiplier: 18.02x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $69.23
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $55.62
Potential profit: $53.26
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.4
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$2.75

Karmine Corp position

LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.6

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.08
Multiplier: 6.37x
User PnL: $2.93

Yes position

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.34
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.82
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.1%
Current value: $3.99
Potential payout: $15.3
Potential profit: $11.31
Multiplier: 3.83x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.75
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.42
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.27
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.58

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.47
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $4.97
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.17

Resolved Context

Closed positions

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.7

Dplus KIA position

LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.9

Movistar KOI position

Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22

Team Vitality position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Team Vitality position

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Yes position

Will LYON win LCS 2026 Spring?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.89

Yes position

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.52

KT Rolster position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.6

Top Esports position

LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.4

LYON position

LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.3

SK Gaming position

LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.8

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.6

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.87

BNK FEARX position

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.2

GIANTX position

LoL: GIANTX vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Group Stage

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.18

G2 Esports position

LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO1)

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.95

GIANTX position

LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.5

Team Liquid position

LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Movistar KOI position

LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Shifters position

LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO1)

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Team Liquid 7% 98.4 shares
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Karmine Corp 14% 40 shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Deep Cross Gaming 24% 5 shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Deep Cross Gaming 23% 5 shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Deep Cross Gaming 11% 10 shares
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner

Team Liquid 17% 5.88 shares
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Team Liquid 17% 5.88 shares
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In

Team Liquid 5% 20 shares
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Movistar KOI 42% 14.29 shares
Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes 9% 67.64 shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Movistar KOI 44% 4.09 shares
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs

Movistar KOI 75% 1.87 shares