Polymarket Trader

0xDc7698751c939F718326c7f8D6f61fEfc0aD6EDa-1769900330060

0xdc7698751c939f718326c7f8d6f61fefc0ad6eda

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $191.68
Realized PnL: -$5.26
Win rate: 56.5%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $41.25
Potential payout: $7.5K
Potential profit: $7.46K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $11.25

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $2.66K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $54.78
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.44K
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: $14.14

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $18.58
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.94K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$10.43

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $997.5
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $17.79
Potential payout: $831.18
Potential profit: $813.39
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.72
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $550.83
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $20.37
Potential payout: $306.38
Potential profit: $286.01
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.11
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.7%
Current value: $4.65
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $95.35
Multiplier: 21.51x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $49.96
Potential profit: $45.72
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $13.35
Potential payout: $30.01
Potential profit: $16.65
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $5.85

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.8%
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.64

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$5.79

Yes position

Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$16.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.1% 100 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.8% 200 shares
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.2% 2,500 shares
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 3.8% 34 shares
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 1.4% 400 shares