Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $260.21
- Potential payout
- $913.33
- Potential profit
- $653.12
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $205.41
Polymarket Trader
0xademo
@0xademo
0xdc7e936bdde3fcab5eddee80e9a7c6525499dfe7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $260.21
- Realized PnL
- -$31.44
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.78
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.61
Yes position
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Yes position
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 6% 913.33 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes 2.7% 55.51 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp 94% 5.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETUp 96% 5.21 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 39% 70.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown 59% 8.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown 57% 8.77 shares
- Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes 27% 55.52 shares
- Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 47% 70.15 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 63% 54.31 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 64% 54.31 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 6% 7.27 shares