Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $194.7
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Polymarket Trader
hsuah
0xdca5f21404d9c1b0d44b9deebeaae028f0f6bd89
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $113.72
- Realized PnL
- $18.77
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $10.01
- Potential payout
- $10.32
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $9.43
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $9.98
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $0.79
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $5.87
- Potential payout
- $6.42
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.61
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $5.72
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $4.94
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$4.88
No position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $4.42
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.54
No position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $2.02
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 12.4% 8.06 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes 83% 1.2 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96% 3.13 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 97.9% 5.11 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 96.5% 3.11 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 5.49 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No 96.9% 10.32 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 1.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 81% 1.23 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No 40% 2.5 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2.7% 200 shares