Yes position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.8%
- Current value
- $734.19
- Potential payout
- $8.39K
- Potential profit
- $7.66K
- Multiplier
- 11.43x
- User PnL
- -$58.27
Polymarket Trader
Sicarius123
0xdcb69b7bd0dcc606e894476e5dbd3e5f74a20864
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $734.19
- Realized PnL
- $331.3
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.94
- Potential profit
- $129.94
- User PnL
- -$70.17
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 25?
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 2?
Ends Oct 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$2.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $160.28
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $144.26
No position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.72
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- $29.33
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 24?
Ends Sep 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.98
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Yes position
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.59
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 29?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 29?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Multiplier
- 7.17x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will Marriott International (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.08
No position
Will Resources Connection (RGP) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.08
No position
Will Domino’s Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.95
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 29?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 26?
Ends Sep 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.65
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 24?
Ends Sep 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.81
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 25?
Ends Sep 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.96
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.11
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 28?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.63
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on September 28?
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 9.4% 8,390.73 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 53.8% 241.11 shares
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 41.5% 241.12 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 21.1% 3,030.2 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 11.4% 1,358.04 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 15.8% 3,030.2 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 99.4% 220.58 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 92.3% 282.31 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 91% 282.32 shares
- Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.9% 6,250 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19% 1,052.63 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes 54% 129.94 shares