Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$84
Polymarket Trader
dalishen
0xdcc2b80ef9cdd1827b4a90a42f0b655fc0a167f5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $199.99
- Realized PnL
- $191.91
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $199.99
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $165.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $99.99
- User PnL
- -$34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.83
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5AM ET
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on March 3?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 10PM ET
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
Ends Dec 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Yes position
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETDown 41% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp 36.2% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETUp 56% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down on July 2?Up 99% 266.81 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 83% 115.6 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 98% 49.08 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99% 100 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 96% 243.8 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?Yes 99.9% 34.43 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?Yes 99.9% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No 99.9% 100 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 97.5% 234.22 shares