Polymarket Trader

alpenict

0xdcc5302118444c27349d1f51c203c79c5d89c002

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $438.94
Realized PnL: $734.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $25K
User PnL: -$100

No position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.23K
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Will Solana reach $210 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $370.37
User PnL: -$100

No position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$20

No position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248.27
Potential profit: $248.27
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Xavi Simons record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $200.42
Potential payout: $200.42
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $137.51
Potential payout: $147.07
Potential profit: $9.56
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $37.5

No position

Will Yann Sommer record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $101.01
Potential payout: $101.11
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $1.01

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$20

No position

Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$40

130k position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.09
Potential profit: $56.09
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.57
Potential profit: $53.57
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Kamala say "I'm speaking" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.38
Potential profit: $51.38
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.24
Potential profit: $41.24
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.74
Potential profit: $37.74
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Trump say "tampon" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $37.04
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.91
Potential profit: $34.91
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Kamala say "border" 5 or more times at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.49
Potential profit: $14.49
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Cardano ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.16
Potential profit: $13.16
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $290.91

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.87

Yes position

Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.63

Yes position

Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.46

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.71

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.34

No position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.98

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.57

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97

Yes position

Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Kamala say "not going back" at debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.83

Yes position

Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.68

No position

Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.51

No position

Hyperswap FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

No position

Pepe ETF in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

No position

Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

No position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

No position

Ethereum all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 2.9% 41.67 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 11% 41.66 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 12% 83.33 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 66% 147.05 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 68% 294.12 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 25,000 shares
Will Yann Sommer record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.9% 101.11 shares
Will Xavi Simons record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 99.8% 200.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Up 47% 10.64 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

No 61% 327.87 shares
Will Trove launch a token by March 31, 2026?

No 9.7% 1,234 shares
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

No 78.3% 127.78 shares