Polymarket Trader

hudson07

0xdccbc09fd0cdd70525fa378d3015797801c4ea1a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $623.34
Realized PnL: $3.3
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $142.39
Potential payout: $149.1
Potential profit: $6.71
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $3.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $98.35
Potential payout: $109.89
Potential profit: $11.54
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.1%
Current value: $39.42
Potential payout: $72.86
Potential profit: $33.44
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $50.41
Potential payout: $56.96
Potential profit: $6.55
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $5.41

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $49.73
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.58
Potential profit: $53.58
User PnL: -$30

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$30

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $45
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $15

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.7%
Current value: $29.83
Potential payout: $43.42
Potential profit: $13.59
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $30.64
Potential payout: $39.54
Potential profit: $8.9
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit West Virginia in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $18.51
Potential payout: $38.96
Potential profit: $20.45
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$11.49

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $8.46
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $30
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $3.46

No position

Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $32.25
Potential payout: $37.5
Potential profit: $5.25
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $27.51
Potential payout: $36.92
Potential profit: $9.42
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$1.29

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.25
Potential profit: $36.25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 58.3%
Current value: $20.83
Potential payout: $35.73
Potential profit: $14.9
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: -$9.17

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.2
Potential profit: $35.2
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.9% and -0.5%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 93.8%
Current value: $30.02
Potential payout: $32.02
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $15.63
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.93
Potential profit: $8.93
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 13.8% 36.25 shares
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

No 57% 52.63 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 54.95 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

No 13% 38.46 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Down 53% 1.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Up 96% 2.08 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Down 9% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Down 20% 5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Up 73% 1.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Up 54% 1.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Up 34% 2.94 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Down 14.2% 35.2 shares