Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $561.74K
- Potential payout
- $562.58K
- Potential profit
- $843.87
- User PnL
- $281.29
Polymarket Trader
thegreengem
@bbk6566
0xdcd669c506a938bae9269a84b8bd2bdb220484cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $762.24K
- Realized PnL
- $143.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- $300
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $844.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $155.5
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $344.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $155.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $844.5
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$344.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.36K
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.07K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.92K
No position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.44K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.37K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45K
Yes position
Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.41K
Yes position
Will Jade Kawamoto / Jackie Kawamoto win the 2026 PPA: Zimmer Biomet Cape Coral Open (Women's Doubles) tournament?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.11K
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.55K
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.31K
Yes position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
No position
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.17K
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.13K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
Charles Oliveira position
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.6% 742.53 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.6% 352.51 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.6% 2,955.21 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.6% 198.13 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 99.9% 501,531.1 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 99.9% 819,928.51 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.6% 1,238.92 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.6% 2,596.43 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes 99.7% 19,455.69 shares
- UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)Tom Nolan 88% 800 shares
- Australia vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to ScoreYes 99.9% 2,333.26 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 100 shares