Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.05
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$19.55
Polymarket Trader
she-pig
@CuiZhenfu
0xdcec22700fece2cc812faf6fd8064ce3ca7ad169
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.94
- Realized PnL
- $327.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$22.5
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $16.19
- Potential payout
- $42.04
- Potential profit
- $25.85
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.92
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $19.95
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $20.85
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Y
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $5.9
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $14.1
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $18.49
- Potential profit
- $9.89
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
N
No position
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $5.84
- Potential payout
- $11.13
- Potential profit
- $5.29
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.9
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $0.1
N
No position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.65
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $3.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $3.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.65
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $8.01
- Potential profit
- $2.92
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.72
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $5.94
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $3.2
No position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.9%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $3.76
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.66
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $46
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.66
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.35
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.25
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.4
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $14.35
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $7.2
Down position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Yes position
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $1.78
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.16x
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No 17% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes 80% 7 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 45% 10 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?No 0.1% 69 shares
- Over $10M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?Yes 30% 10 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?Yes 8.1% 66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 34% 8 shares
- Over $5M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?No 33% 16 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes 33% 8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 27% 37 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 32% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 31% 4 shares