Polymarket Trader

ConfidentlyUncertain

0xdcf52725ee37a07e8ac45591c6de9119ab63829c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.11
Realized PnL: $3.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $551.37
Potential profit: $551.37
User PnL: -$281.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $344.76
Potential profit: $340.45
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $1.21

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.32
Potential payout: $240.37
Potential profit: $239.04
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $99
Potential profit: $98.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91
Potential profit: $91
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.76
Potential profit: $68.76
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.85
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $35.98
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $24.74
Potential profit: $24.68
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 11.3%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $15.09
Multiplier: 8.89x
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.4%
Current value: $2.29
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $11.71
Multiplier: 6.12x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $327.72

Over position

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $313.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $179.07

Alexander Zverev position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.62

Under position

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $139.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.61

Over position

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.6

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.92

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90

Los Angeles Angels position

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.26

Mirra Andreeva position

Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.35

San Diego Padres position

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.71

Over position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.89

Philadelphia Phillies position

Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.82

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.41

Alexander Donski position

Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duran

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.92

Under position

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.57

Over position

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.66

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 90.61 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 247.43 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 87.4% 9.42 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 211.65 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 56% 23.18 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 80.6% 67.55 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 56% 23.18 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.3% 86.88 shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 87.4% 9.36 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5% 207.17 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 236.74 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 79.9% 67.45 shares