Polymarket Trader

LUderus

0xdd0763fff679d448305825d545665cfc98225f53

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $107.52
Realized PnL: $11.34
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12K
Potential profit: $12K
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $15.8
Potential payout: $18.48
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$1.2

No position

Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $12.98
Potential payout: $13.47
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.11
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $8.82
Potential payout: $9.31
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $9.3
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $9
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0

No position

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.1
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.1

Madison Keys position

Paris: Madison Keys vs Sarah Rakotomanga

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.49
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $5.27
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.15
Potential payout: $5.15
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.04
Potential payout: $4.04
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $3.23
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $3.19
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.5% and 44.9% on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

ex-RUBY position

Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

GPT-5 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the US add between 100k and 125k jobs in September?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Trump remove tariff on China before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will NVDA purchase Bitcoin before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Trump x Xi talk by Friday?

Ends Apr 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will monthly inflation be between 1.8% and 2.0% in December?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

iPhone 16 pro costs $1,399 or more before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on May 15?

No 96% 2.08 shares
Paris: Madison Keys vs Sarah Rakotomanga

Madison Keys 91% 5.49 shares
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May 2026?

No 97.5% 5.13 shares
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

No 97% 5.15 shares
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 96.7% 9.31 shares
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

No 98.3% 6.1 shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

No 99% 11.11 shares
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?

No 96.8% 9.3 shares
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 98.7% 52.04 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

No 93% 3.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 14?

No 98.9% 4.04 shares
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 14?

No 94% 3.19 shares